Overthe long-term Australian shares have been a relatively strong performer, but it does go through relatively long periods of out and underperformance versus global shares.
Cyclical fluctuations are a key aspect of investment markets. Most are driven by economic developments but get magnified by swings in investor sentiment.
Australia has had a housing undersupply problem since the mid 2000’s, helping to continually push up home prices and being one of the main drivers of the “affordability” problem.
Share markets have fallen sharply in recent weeks asuncertainty around US President Trump’s policies have led to renewed concerns about the risk of recession at a time when share market valuations were stretched.
The key themes for 2024 were: better than feared growth;global divergence; more disinflation; falling interest ratesbut with Australia lagging; and more geopolitical threats butnot as bad as feared. As in 2023, returns were strong.